#anticipate : El Niño Will Supercharge Shocks Like the Iran War
By Tom Ellison, originally published in Lawfare, April 21, 2026
Apr 30, 2026
∙ Paid
The event will amplify the effects of conflict, highlighting the importance of climate resilience to global security.
Tom Ellison argues that a coming El Niño could intensify the global fallout from the Iran war by compounding energy, food, and political shocks. The conflict has disrupted oil, gas, fertilizer, and shipping flows, while backlogs, insuranc…
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